- A large team of Morgan Stanley analysts identified companies that have the strongest tailwinds due to behavioral changes spurred by the coronavirus pandemic.
- Their picks in travel reflect accelerating trends that include live streaming, food delivery, and online shopping.
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The coronavirus pandemic has made lasting changes to virtually every aspect of daily living.
A large team of analysts at Morgan Stanley studied some of the biggest transformations taking place within industries to deduce how businesses are adapting.
Due to social distancing, the travel and tourism industries have been among the epicenters of the crisis. But the forced changes to consumer behavior have also created opportunities for companies that are benefiting from new habits.
Morgan Stanley analysts identified four major themes that have emerged as a result of changes to travel and outdoor experiences. Within these themes, their single-stock analysts then identified ten companies that are purported to have the greatest tailwinds in a post-pandemic world.
The four opportunistic themes are:
- Increased streaming demand and an aversion to live events: Shelter-in-place mandates are accelerating the cord-cutting trend and forcing major events to be held virtually.
- A shift to off-premise dining through delivery and pickup: Fast-food restaurants with preexisting drive-thru facilities are likely to adapt faster than their full-service counterparts.
- Banks with low exposure to at-risk loans: Financial institutions face credit losses if establishments like hotels and malls go bust.
- Retail-store traffic reductions and changing apparel category preferences: Brands with largely wholesale business models benefit from the growth of ecommerce.
All the companies featured below are rated "overweight" by Morgan Stanley analysts.
1. Amazon

Ticker:AMZN
Investing themes: Live events aversion, increased streaming demand
Year-to-date performance: 46%
Source: Morgan Stanley
2. Netflix

Ticker:NFLX
Investing themes: Live events aversion, increased streaming demand
Year-to-date performance: 44%
Source: Morgan Stanley
3. Spotify

Ticker:SPOT
Investing themes: Live events aversion, increased streaming demand
Year-to-date performance: 56%
Source: Morgan Stanley
4. Walt Disney

Ticker:DIS
Investing themes: Live events aversion, increased streaming demand
Year-to-date performance: -20%
Source: Morgan Stanley
5. McDonald's

Ticker:MCD
Investing themes: Restaurants — a shift to off-premise
Year-to-date performance: -5%
Source: Morgan Stanley
6. Restaurant Brands International

Ticker:QSR
Investing themes: Restaurants — a shift to off-premise
Year-to-date performance: -14%
Source: Morgan Stanley
7. Yum Brands

Ticker:YUM
Investing themes: Restaurants — a shift to off-premise
Year-to-date performance: -13%
Source: Morgan Stanley
8. Dominos Pizza

Ticker:DPZ
Investing themes: Restaurants — a shift to off-premise
Year-to-date performance: 31%
Source: Morgan Stanley
9. SVB Financial Group

Ticker:SIVB
Investing themes: Banks' exposure to social distancing
Year-to-date performance: -12%
Source: Morgan Stanley
10. Nike

Ticker:NKE
Investing themes: Store traffic reductions and changing apparel category preferences
Year-to-date performance: -2%
Source: Morgan Stanley